yap's profileI am blogging...BlogListsGuestbookMore ![]() | Help |
|
6/27/2008 How can you live without knowing these things?
6/12/2008 Scenario PlanningScenario planning or easier term would be forecasting or maybe predicting. Forecasting has been one of the important techniques that we are using everyday without realizing them. For example, we forecast the oil price will be still going up on the next month, there would be heavy rain in this few weeks in the early morning, the people who goes for gambling will predict themselves would win today but it never happen, and etc...
Scenario planning is more of an art than a science but it will prepare your firm (if you are the company's CEO) better if the unthinkable should occur. However, it still would benefits the individual if you able to use them wisely.
Here are some true examples of forecasts that have been made in the computer industry. I picked the computer industry as they are advancing faster in the technology factor.
As you can see, the degree of predictability varies from industry to industry, but in those where fast changing factors such as fashion and technology are crucial to success the period of uncertainty will be longer. Unfortunately, most of the things in our life are involved with fashion and technology. This is where it separates the genius from the others. Agree? So, what type of scenario planning or forecasting is in your mind now? 6/5/2008 Fuel Hike !!!"Petrol up from RM1.92 to RM2.70 >> 40% increased! Diesel up from RM1.58 to RM2.58 >> 63% increased!"
Malaysia government had annouced fuel hike for all the consumers from yesterday 5pm. It sent chaos to the whole country as everyone was rushing and queueing up at the petrol station. These people should be, I think, at home or restaurants having dinner. By 7pm, all the major roads were empty where all the vehicles were on the roads connecting to the petrol stations. The shopping complex, restaurants, night markets etc were like a "ghost area".
These kind of news really send a knee jerk reaction to the whole country and they are affecting by it badly. Can our Malaysia's economy sustainable? The KLCI reacting with a drop of 37.81pts to 1215.31pts as of now. Furthermore, Goldman Sach commented yesterday, Malaysia's market has gone into uncharted territory and they has downgraded the market here. This is not a good news...
If a person is earning at RM 5,000 per month, I would clasify him, now, as lower class of middle income group. If you want to be at the higher class of middle income group, I would say you need to earn RM 10,000 per month.
This fuel hike surely has it's effect on me too. What would others feeling now? 6/1/2008 ~ * v * ~Top 5 Business Signs That Make you Think
|
|
|